Predictions For 2013: How Did They Turn Out?

At the conclusion of last year, I made a number of predictions for events in 2013. Now, in the interests of accountability, it is time to compare this to what actually happened:

The Higgs Boson will turn out to be the simplest possible Higgs, leaving researchers frustrated by the lack of suggested new physics beyond the standard model.

The jury is still out, but that appears to be the consensus. One point.

Justin Trudeau will implode beneath a series of gaffes and vapid comments, and Marc Garneau will win the Liberal leadership. Devoid of the star power of a new leader, the LPC will remain mired in a distant third.

Nope; Justin’s the leader, and he’s in first. I still think he will implode, though. No points.

The Eurozone will fracture as Greece decides that readopting the drachma is the least bad option.

Not yet. Give it time. No points.

Binyamin Netanyahu will be reelected in Israel; war with Iran will loom on the horizon by the end of 2013.

Yes to the first, no to the second. 0.5 points.

Even if Chief Spence dies, the Idle No More protestors will manage to keep their demonstrations mostly peaceful; but we will see Tory ministers and Conservative pundits crowing at every minor incident in a frenzied effort to start a conflict.

Nope. Co-opted by the Green Party. No points.

Stephen Harper will be the least popular sitting Prime Minister in Canadian history by the end of the year.

Sadly no. Zero points.

NDP will form a majority government in BC; Ontario will get an unstable Conservative minority, with the NDP in second and the Liberals in third; Nova Scotia will get a Liberal majority government.

No. No. Yes. 0.333 points.

The Kepler space telescope will discover a planet within 10% of the mass of the Earth, smack dab in the middle of its parent star’s habitable zone.

Not quite yet. Getting closer… (Zero points).

Bashar Assad will be dead by June.

Nope. Zero points.

Recep Tayyip Erdogan will stop lobbying for Turkey to join the EU all together, and instead opt to organize a new economic partnership between certain Middle Eastern countries: namely, Turkey, plus many of the Arab states which have recently undergone revolutions.

Nope. Zero points.

Totaling them up, I get the truly pathetic score of 1.833 out of ten. Bring on 2014!


About thevenerablecorvex

I have the heart of a poet, the brain of a theoretical physicist, and the wingspan of an albatross. I am also notable for my humility.
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3 Responses to Predictions For 2013: How Did They Turn Out?

  1. Kepler needs to hurry up, before the religious nuts start thinkign we are more special that we are 😉 …

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